I predicted in this blog last week that the primaries would essentially be over if both Trump and Hillary won big last night. They did. Hillary won four states, all the larger ones - Pennsylvania, Maryland, Connecticut and Delaware. Bernie won Rhode Island. Trump did even better. He blew out all five states in contention.
I also said in that previous blog that if this was the result, it would be time for Sanders, Cruz and Kasich to bring their campaigns to a close. It's been nice knowing you, see you around.
With the overwhelming statement Trump made last night, there is no way the Republican establishment can deny him the nomination. Stealing it from him after so many Republican voters have given him their full-throated endorsement would be the equivalent of the Republican party declaring nuclear war on itself.
Same with Bernie, who has said he'd do everything in his power to keep Trump from becoming president. If he meant it, it is time to put his money where his mouth is. If what Bernie originally wanted to do was drive Hillary and the Democratic party farther leftward, he accomplished that. Good for him. But Hillary won fair and square on HER ideas so no threats or blackmail or conditions for your support, please.
This has been the most craziest, most tumultuous primary season I ever remember and I expect no less from the general.
I remember when I worked at the Sheriff's Dept, there was some t.v. program all the deputies watched (I don't remember what it was). There was a catchphrase they used from that show - "don't make me go all medieval on your ass".
I expect Trump to "go all medieval" on Hillary. If there even is such a thing in politics as a line too far, Trump will be willing to go far beyond it. Sexism - check. Racism - check. Bill's past - check. Accusations of murder in Benghazi - check.
He already said in his victory speech last night that she is only the presumptive Democratic nominee because she is a woman. If she was a man, he said, she'd be polling at 5 percent. Parroting Bernie (thanks, Bernie), he said she's unqualified to be president. He has such contempt for the female sex, I truly don't understand how any woman could vote for him.
Hillary's task will be to be as tough on him as he is on her without descending completely into his gutter. That might not be easy. But maybe he will do himself in. Maybe Americans will get tired of the crude and the rude and the lewd of Donald Trump. But maybe not. Lots of us seem to love it. The more medieval the better.
Hang on. It's going to be a hell of a ride.
Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Saturday, April 23, 2016
Okay, I'll give the pretenders a couple more days to play their "how we can still win" scenarios. But after Pennsylvania, Delaware, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Maryland vote on Tuesday, if they haven't won multiple states and won them big, it will be time to fold their tents and get behind the candidates the people in their party have chosen.
For the Republicans, that means Donald Trump. For the Democrats, it is Hillary Clinton.
The writing has been on the wall for a while but we've humored you. We listened to how John Kasich thinks he can win exactly one state, his own state, and still go home with the big prize. We watched how Ted Cruz mastered the art of getting more delegates even when Trump won more actual votes. We heard Bernie tell us how he believes he can get super-delegates to turn away from Hillary although she's won by far the most pledged delegates and the most votes.
But after this next batch of primaries, those fantasies should be put way. I know dreams as big as these die hard but sometimes, you simply have to recognize when the end has come. By next Wednesday morning, mostly likely the end will have come for Bernie, Ted and John.
Then it will be a matter of considering where we're at and supporting the candidate of your choice in the fall. Who do you think will do the best job for the country in the Oval office? Period.
I don't know if that will happen though. Bernie fans tend to be dogs-in-the-manger whiners, not all of them but a significant number. I see them on Facebook threatening to take their marbles and go home if they don't get their way. (Polling shows that about 33% of Sanders supporters feel this way). This race is very personal for them. Bernie is the Anointed One and no one else is worthy.
Forget the difference in the type of judges Hillary versus Trump will nominate for the Supreme Court. Forget any minimum wage increase if a Republican wins. Forget fighting for climate change legislation, gun control, overturning Citizens United, women controlling their own health care decisions, LGBT rights. Nope, either the Berniebots get what they want or fuck everyone else. They are the left-wing version of the Tea Party. No compromise.
Same on the Republican side. I haven't heard as much about the Stop Trump movement since New York but I think the power structure is still plotting behind the scenes. They are crazy if they go ahead with those nefarious plans. Their convention and their party will go up in flames if they disenfranchise the grassroots.
So, next Tuesday night will tell the story. Barring a stunning surprise, we'll have our candidates which will make for an extremely interesting election. Both Hillary and Donald are polarizing. People who love them, love them a lot. People who hate them, hate them a lot.
Some Trump haters say they'll cross over and vote for Hillary. Some Hillary haters say they'll cross over and vote for Trump. Maybe it will be a wash.
Trump (and Bernie) represent the revolution. Upend the system and make big, bold changes. Hillary voters tend not to trust revolution, knowing revolutions can't always be controlled once begun. They prefer commonsense and compromise.
But there you'll have it. Pick your poison.
Wednesday, April 6, 2016
I had a client come to see me about changing her name. It seems that when she got married, her wrong middle initial was listed on her wedding license. Then when she got divorced, her correct initial was used on her divorce decree. This happened many years ago. It didn't seem like a major problem until lately.
When she moved back to Indiana from another state and went to the Bureau of Motor Vehicles to get her license, she couldn't get one because all her documentation didn't match. In this state, when the new rules regarding getting a license/i.d. card went into affect (because of terrorism, doncha know), women had to begin proving how and why they'd used each name....that usually means marriage licenses and divorce papers if they took their previous name back.
My client didn't need a complete legal name change, she simply required a correction on her wedding license. She contacted the State and was told that was impossible. "Too bad, so sad," the BMV shrugged its shoulders.
I certainly had no idea what to tell her and neither did any of the attorneys I asked. "There must be a way," they said. Well, yeah, probably, but what is that way?
As far as I know, she still doesn't have a license.
I know another woman who lived with a man in a common-law relationship for several years and used his name. She now has no documentation to show the BMV how that name came about in order to get a new license. We think the license bureau may accept an affidavit in place of a marriage license.
When my mother quit driving and let her license expire, she forgot she'd need an i.d. card to vote. She had to send for her birth certificate (Illinois, 1919) and her wedding license (Arizona 1938). She was 90 then. She'd not have had a clue how to accomplish this if I had not done it for her.
Men have no problem. They are who they are all their lives. Go to the license bureau, show your birth certificate. Voila, done deal! But for women, in many cases, it is a different and much more complicated story, one that the legislators (mostly males) don't understand....or if they do understand, they don't care.
My advice to women is: don't change your names. Keep the one you were born with like men, no matter how many times you marry. It may save you problems in the years ahead.